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Archive for March, 2009

Obama and the Auto Industy: Heavy Handed?

March 31st, 2009

loansharkHey, I thought this was a capitalist, free economy! All of a sudden, the President of the United States kicks out the top dog in General Motors and tells the company to rework its business plan or else! Then he demands that Chrysler “marry” Fiat. What gives?

Is there still anything to Charles Wilson’s prophetic pronouncement, back in the ’50s, “As goes GM, so goes the country!”? Wilson, then President of General Motors, wasn’t all that far off when he equated the welfare of what was then the world’s biggest auto maker with that of our country. And it probably still applies.

GM is, today, hardly different from any individual that spends more than he makes, has borrowed all he can from normal sources to do more of the same, and finally resorts to loan sharks who act predictably, and not very pleasantly, when he inevitably defaults.

But I’m far less worried about General Motors, and it’s forfeiture of control to our government, than I am about our government which, having borrowed all it can from its citizens, now is hitting up the international “loan sharks” that have been buying up America as fast as they can! “…So goes the country!”

What do you think happens next? How soon? And what, if anything, can we do about it?

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“Foxes and Hedgehogs”

March 28th, 2009

Prolific commentator on this site, Lowell Herr, has an elegant blog in which he continues to search for “a better way.” His most recent post distinguishes between the “Foxes” which continue in their quest for that elusive “better way,” and the “Hedgehogs” (like yours truly) who stick with one methodology. You may read my comment in response to his point of view on his site, “ITA Wealth Management,” and see which of us you agree with.

Then, come on back here and tell us which…and why.

Ellis Investment Concepts

Stock Investing Do’s and Don’ts

March 26th, 2009

dramaToday’s stock market has caused a lot of usually sensible people to shake their heads and say, “This is different. This is unprecedented. It’s never been like this! We need a new set of rules to handle it.”

Do we?

Here’s a list of ten do’s and don’ts that may seem “different” than those you’re accustomed to, but they have stood the test of time and are especially important in today’s world. Read more…

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Credit: Pandora’s Box

March 24th, 2009

ponzi-schemeThere was a time when we found it prudent to keep debt to a minimum, save for what we wanted and would need in the future, and use credit only for the purchase of something as significant as a home. Of course, the use of debt in business is quite another story, where borrowed funds are used to pay for things that will generate more than enough money to cover the cost of the loan.

But, times have truly changed. Pandora’s box has been flung wide open and we now rely on credit for everything. Nowadays, we can’t make payrolls, put food on our tables, or take care of the necessities without credit. Read more…

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Let’s Give some Credit Where it’s Due!

March 20th, 2009

weiss2There’s one guy out there who had it nailed a long time ago. A one-man crusader with the tools to expose Wall Street’s flaws, he was on national talk shows, made his points eloquently. Must have felt like a mime on a street corner: everyone could see him, but no one heard him. How frustrating it must have been for him to have been labeled a sensationalist and a paranoid (by those threatened the most) and not be taken as seriously as he should have been then. [Hey, just because you're a paranoid it doesn't mean they're not out to get you!] Read more…

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Those Obscene Bonuses: Do We Have a Right to Be Angry?

March 18th, 2009

angrymobsmYou bet we do! Any time anyone in a position of trust and responsibility takes advantage of that position and steals from those who trust him or her, we have a right to be mad as hell! And, certainly, those top executives who, through some convoluted logic, justify absconding with millions of dollars when the companies they manage are going down the tubes, should be literally tarred, feathered, and boiled in oil! Okay? Let the record show that I’m righteously furious! Read more…

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Is a 15% Return a Reasonable Expectation?

March 17th, 2009

The HerdLively chatter on the NAIC I-Club recently dealt with the topic of expectations. Our methodology calls for shooting for doubling our money every five years. This means that the value of our portfolios is expected to increase, on the average, just under 15% every year.

You and I both know that, for the same reason you can’t effectively time the market, you can’t reasonably expect the market value of your holdings to increase inexorably at that rate. That skittish “herd,” that has just spent months wallowing in its “irrational despair,” will never prove to be a reliable, much less predictable, appraiser of the value of your common stocks. Read more…

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Tangling with Intangibles?

March 9th, 2009

We can no longer readily compare the stability of companies’ earnings growth. The requirement to write down Goodwill in real time, rather than over long periods, injects an undesirable level of unpredictability into our evaluations.

Read this March 4th, Miami Herald article for a clear understanding of the problem we’re facing today.

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There’s a Fire Sale Out There!

March 9th, 2009

firesaleI know a lot of smart people who wait for clothing, appliances or even food to come down in price so they can pride themselves on spending less for the things they need or want.

But how about buying those things that will actually make money for you? Everyone knows that in the stock market the formula is “buy low – sell high!” Yet, for some strange reason, a lot of people just don’t seem to like to buy common stocks when the prices are low. They seem to prefer to buy them when their prices are rising or are already high. Go figure!

Folks, let me say it point blank: there’s a fire sale going on out there right now! Never in my lifetime has there been a better time to pick up shares of excellent companies at super bargain prices.

So why isn’t everyone doing it? C’mon – you’d fill up your gas tank when prices are down. Why not latch on to some shares of (fill in the blank)?

If it’s because you don’t know how to pick quality companies, or if you don’t know how to tell what their shares are really worth, stay tuned and you will!

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Memo to Shareholders: Give Profit-Draining Boards and Executives the Boot

March 6th, 2009

larrymoecurly-11It’s well known by now that way too many corporate executives are making gazillions of dollars every year in salaries, perks and expenses. What may come as a surprise to you is that they don’t have to do a very good job to get raises each year. Even more outrageous, if by some chance they fall out of favor with the board of directors that hired them, they get even bigger bucks to leave! Read more…

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